Continuing the string of gains off the lows in February, the S&P 500 has finally tagged the 2100 level for the first time since December 2nd. Drilling down to the near term movement, the rallies of the past few trading days has taken the index to the top of its recent rising range. Within this pocket at the top of the channel, the market has generally found a place to cool off before pulling back to consolidate in the pocket at the lower end of the rising channel.
These points at the extreme edges of the range (within the “pockets”) have provided good entry and exit points for swing trades in the recent past. Beware, though, that these trading ranges develop and break down rapidly, and often with little advance notice, so if playing the levels, be sure to select entry points carefully and apply tight stops. If (really when) the range breaks down, you’ll know pretty quickly that the structure is breaking down, and that its time to get out and re-evaluate.
Still, the channels often last long enough that they can produce a number of decent trade setups, provided the proper care and planning go into each trade. Be sure to limit drawdown on any trade that goes against you; preservation of capital is EXTREMELY important. Don’t let a small loss turn into a big one.
Good luck out there.